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WATER DEMAND COMMITTEE |
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ITEM: |
DISCUSSION ITEM |
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4. |
WATER DEMAND FORECAST – UPDATED AMBAG GROWTH FORECAST |
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Meeting Date: |
February 4, 2021 |
Budgeted: |
N/A |
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From: |
David J. Stoldt, |
Program/ |
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General Manager |
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Item No.: N/A |
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Prepared By: |
David J. Stoldt |
Cost Estimate: |
N/A |
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General Counsel Review: N/A |
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Committee Recommendation: N/A |
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CEQA Compliance: This
action does not constitute a project as defined by the California
Environmental Quality Act Guidelines section 15378 |
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SUMMARY: The AMBAG regional growth forecast projects
the region's population, housing and employment. The
growth forecast is used to support regional planning efforts such as the
Regional Travel Demand Model and the Metropolitan Transportation Plan as well
as local planning such as the development of General Plans and project review.
However, use of the forecast by local land-use planning agencies is elective.
Developing population, housing and employment forecast estimates for the Monterey Bay region consists of two distinct stages. The first stage is the identification of regional and county level forecast figures through the use of widely accepted forecasting methodologies. The second stage is the disaggregation of county-level forecast numbers to the jurisdictional level.
The 2018 Regional Growth Forecast
was adopted at the AMBAG Board of Directors Meeting on June 13, 2018. The District utilized the 2018 AMBAG Regional
Growth Forecast as an objective third-party scenario for the forecasting of
water demand on the Monterey Peninsula in its “Supply and Demand for Water on the Monterey Peninsula” adopted by the
Board in May 2020.
The 2022 Regional Growth Forecast was accepted for planning purposes by the AMBAG Board of Directors on November 18, 2020. The 2022 Regional Growth Forecast is scheduled to be formally adopted by the AMBAG Board of Directors in June 2022.
District staff will summarize the updated 2022 Regional Growth Forecast’s impact on future water demand at the Committee’s February 4th meeting.
EXHIBIT
None
U:\staff\Board_Committees\WaterDemand\2021\20210204\04\Item-4.docx